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Links between sustainability-related innovation and sustainability management

Wagner, Marcus - 2008

This paper analyses the link between sustainability-related innovation and sustainability performance and the role that family firms play in this. This theme is particular relevant from a European point of view given the large number of firms that are family-owned. Governments often support...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263737

The impact of seasonal and price adjustments on the predictability of German GDP revisions

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Neuwirth, Stefan - 2012

Releases of the GDP are subject to revisions over time. This paper examines the predictability of German GDP revisions using forecast rationality tests. Previous studies of German GDP covering data until 1997 finds that revisions of real seasonally adjusted GDP are predictable. This paper uses a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280790

Lasso-type and heuristic strategies in model selection and forecasting

Savin, Ivan; Winker, Peter - 2012

Several approaches for subset recovery and improved forecasting accuracy have been proposed and studied. One way is to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291802

Prognosen der regionalen Konjunkturentwicklung

Dreger, Christian; Kholodilin, Konstantin A. - In: Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 76 (2007) 4, pp. 47-55

Vorhersagen der konjunkturellen Entwicklung werden in Deutschland meist für die Ebene der Gesamtwirtschaft durchgeführt. Sie sind jedoch nicht auf die regionalen Verhältnisse übertragbar. Signifikante Abweichungen können sich unter anderem wegen einer unterschiedlichen Sektoralstruktur...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377810

One-factor-Garch models for German stocks: Estimation and forecasting

Kaiser, Thomas - 1996

This paper presents theoretical models and their empirical results for the return and variance dynamics of German stocks. A factor structure is used in order to allow for a parsimonious modeling of the first two moments of returns. Dynamic factor models with GARCH dynamics (GARCH(1,1)-M,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435583

Monthly recession predictions in real time: A density forecast approach for German industrial production

Rietzler, Katja; Stephan, Sabine - 2012

In this paper we present a methodology which can help to improve the assessment of the current economic situation. We propose an approach which combines multivariate single equations to forecast the monthly growth rate of industrial production with a density forecast. This allows to estimate the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460518

Konjunkturprognosen: Verfahren, Erfolgskontrolle und Prognosefehler

Grömling, Michael - 2005

The economic forecasts for Germany in the period 2001 to 2003 grossly missed reality. Forecasters estimated an average annual growth rate of 1.6 per cent, but real GDP actually grew by only 0.3 per cent per annum. In 2003 the real GDP in Germany even shrank by 0.1 per cent. Forecasters tend to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262887

Modeling and Forecasting DAX Index Volatility

Lazarov, Zdravetz - 2004

on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102

Forecasting euro-area variables with German pre-EMU data

Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut; Marcellino, … - 2006

period 1970Q1 - 2003Q4 for ten macroeconomic variables. The years 2000 - 2003 are used as forecasting period. A range of … different univariate forecasting methods is applied. Some of them are based on linear autoregressive models and we also use some … forecasting variables which need considerable adjustments in their levels when joining German and EMU data. These results suggest …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263654

Untersuchungen zur Bemessungsgrundlage und zum kassenmäßigen Aufkommen der Steuern vom Umsatz

Boss, Alfred - 1997

did not become weaker in the 1990s. Thus it is justified to use traditional methods in forecasting the VAT revenues. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265341