This paper evaluates the empirical evidence of increasing the chances of financial crises induced by opening up developing countries to short-term capital inflows and appraises the various proposals made for mitigating the severity of financial crises. We point out that there is solid evidence...

Recently, a dramatic accumulation in foreign exchange reserves has been widely observed in developing countries. This paper explores the possible long-run impacts of this trend on macroeconomic variables in developing countries. We analyze a simple open economy model where increased foreign...

In this paper we develop a two country general equilibrium extension of the Stockman (1980)-Lucas (1982) equilibrium exchange rate model. This optimising framework gives us the opportunity to analyse the effect of foreign direct investment on trade and welfare of both the investor and the...

Low-income countries (LIDCs) are typically characterized by intermittent and very modest access to private external funding sources. Motivated by recent developments in private flows to LIDCs this paper makes two contributions: First, it constructs a new comprehensive dataset on gross private...

This paper analyzes the different implications of denominating foreign debt in a tradable or in a nontradable good, analogous to foreign currency and a local price index respectively. While the price of tradables is exogenous to a small open economy, the price of nontradables reacts to the...

The sovereign debt literature of the 1980s made the important point that lenders to a sovereign country will impose a credit ceiling on their lending, because at a sufficiently high level of debt the country will find it less onerous to default than to keep on servicing its debt. Provided that...

Using a large panel of official bilateral loan data for 111 borrowing countries and 78 lending countries between 1980 and 2020, the paper shows that international government borrowing from bilateral sources is a-cyclical with respect to the business cycle of the borrower but procyclical with...

This study focuses on identifying the main factors that influenced country-specific and aggregate demand for IMF concessional financing between 1986 and 2018 and makes within-period and out-of-period forecasts. We find that the external debt level, inflation, and real effective exchange rate are...

This paper assesses the dynamics of developing and emerging countries external debt and financial vulnerability. It is argued that, although current account positions do have a role in accumulating external liabilities, developing countries' vulnerability primarily lie in their increasing...

Using a sample of 110 developed and developing countries for the period 1990-2004, this paper analyzes the characteristics of systemic sudden stops (3S) in capital flows and the relevance of balance-sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. A small supply of tradable goods...