The study examines the predictability of 48 sovereign bond markets based on a strategy of 27,000 technical trading rules. These rules represent four popular trading rule classes, they are: moving average, filtering, support and resistance, and channel breakout rules, with numerous variants in...

We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be conducted with different tools at different stages of financial development. In...

Despite the measures that have already been put in place to strengthen the international financial architecture in the wake of the Asian financial crisis, still much remain to be done. This paper tried to distinguish developing economies' views, in general, and East Asian views, in particular,...

This paper analyzes influences on the credit standing of Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs), specifically the quality, diversification and single name concentration of their portfolios, and on the market practice known as Preferred Creditor Status (PCS), whereby sovereigns that default on...

This paper analyzes influences on the credit standing of Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs), specifically the quality, diversification and single name concentration of their portfolios, and on the market practice known as Preferred Creditor Status (PCS), whereby sovereigns that default on...

This paper investigates the importance of having a sovereign credit rating for a country's financial development. After controlling for endogeneity and selection bias, we compare different aspects of the financial sector and the capital markets of recently rated countries with otherwise similar,...

This paper contributes to the literature on Multilateral Development Banks' (MDBs) balance sheet optimization in two ways. First, it looks at solutions to alleviate the ‘trilemma' faced by MDBs – stemming from G20 shareholders' calls for increasing development lending while, simultaneously,...

This article analyses the growth of microfinance by examining how some driven forces heighten more or less their financial integration. Three main driven forces identify: agency costs, financial development and trade-off in microfinance. The author samples 542 microfinance institutions. Quantile...

The global market of inter-banking syndicated loans is a vast network of obligations upon which lenders rely for longer-term financing, and, in turn, provide to the real economy to finance projects. This network is explicitly modeled from 1998 to 2013 such that firms are nodes and loan...

IMF programs are often considered to carry a “stigma” that triggers adverse market reactions. We show that such a negative IMF effect disappears when accounting for endogenous selection into programs. To proxy for a country's access to financial markets, we use credit ratings and investor...