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We show that sovereign risk premium contains important information about the short run exchange rate dynamics in emerging economies and that net foreign assets play the key role in the link between the two variables: on the one hand, the accumulation of foreign assets reduces the sovereign risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721013
Over the past 10 years, central banks and governments throughout the developing world have accumulated foreign exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108659
Developing countries are constrained in financing current account deficits as real capital mobility is still far from perfect. At the same time, capital flows to these countries proved to be extremely volatile. The paper argues that the long-term problem of "too little" should not be confused...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942403
Standard open economy macro models with unemployment predict a contractionary short-run effect of international capital inflows. Empirical evidence, on the other hand, often associates such inflows with short-term booms, and developing country policy makers frequently go out of their way to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012117674
Using a sample of 110 developed and developing countries for the period 1990-2004, this paper analyzes the characteristics of systemic sudden stops (3S) in capital flows and the relevance of balance-sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. A small supply of tradable goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003776987
panel dataset show that per capita income growth, trade openness, and change in stock market capitalization are important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283420
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548561
We evaluate the impact of the global financial crisis (GFC) and recent structural changes in the patterns of hoarding international reserves (IR). We confirm that the determinants of IR hoarding evolve with developments in the global economy. During the pre-GFC period of 1999-2006, gross saving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490278
-augmented panel autoregressive model. Our results show that an exchange rate appreciation can have strong effects on current account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128677
The aim of this paper is to evaluate the economic consequences on the countries that on one hand protect themselves from future financial crises by accumulating international reserves (IR) while on the other hand expose themselves to severe financial crisis due to their excessive internal and/or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075742