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This paper evaluates the empirical evidence of increasing the chances of financial crises induced by opening up developing countries to short-term capital inflows and appraises the various proposals made for mitigating the severity of financial crises. We point out that there is solid evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014118817
Recently, a dramatic accumulation in foreign exchange reserves has been widely observed in developing countries. This paper explores the possible long-run impacts of this trend on macroeconomic variables in developing countries. We analyze a simple open economy model where increased foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003982936
In this paper we develop a two country general equilibrium extension of the Stockman (1980)-Lucas (1982) equilibrium exchange rate model. This optimising framework gives us the opportunity to analyse the effect of foreign direct investment on trade and welfare of both the investor and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732663
Low-income countries (LIDCs) are typically characterized by intermittent and very modest access to private external funding sources. Motivated by recent developments in private flows to LIDCs this paper makes two contributions: First, it constructs a new comprehensive dataset on gross private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022264
This study focuses on identifying the main factors that influenced country-specific and aggregate demand for IMF concessional financing between 1986 and 2018 and makes within-period and out-of-period forecasts. We find that the external debt level, inflation, and real effective exchange rate are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243069
Using a sample of 110 developed and developing countries for the period 1990-2004, this paper analyzes the characteristics of systemic sudden stops (3S) in capital flows and the relevance of balance-sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. A small supply of tradable goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003776987
This paper first analyzes the impact of capital inflows on the real effective exchange rate for a sample of 42 emerging and developing countries over the period 1980–2006. The results from the pooled mean group estimator show that both public and private inflows are associated with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010595225
There are countries that do not fall under the prevailing definitions of developed and developing country that are employed by the World Trade Organization (WTO). The WTO fails to take into account the special circumstances and needs of these countries. While such special circumstances and needs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050487
Dutch disease is often referred as a situation in which large and sustained foreign currency inflows lead to a contraction of the tradable sector by giving rise to a real appreciation of the home currency. This paper documents that this syndrome has been witnessed by many emerging markets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306761
Devaluation is an integral part of adjustment in many developing countries, particularly relied upon by countries facing large external imbalances. A devaluation can only reduce trade imbalances if it translates to a real devaluation and if trade flows respond to relative prices in a significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781593