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Systemic bias of IMF reserve and debt forecasts for program countries
Eicher, Theo S.; Kawai, Reina - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 3, pp. 985-1001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547232
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Assessing the World Bank’s growth forecasts
Tsuchiya, Yoichi - 2021
In this study, the performance and rationality of the gross domestic product growth forecasts by the World Bank (WB …’s growth forecast not only for regional aggregates but also for 130 countries between 1999 and 2019. The results of the … investigation are summarized as follows. (1) The next-year forecast performances of the majority of the regions improved after the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241622
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Global Economic Development : Worsening forecasts
Dzhunkeev, Urmat; Perevyshin, Yury; Trunin, Pavel; … - 2023
In July, the IMF, the European Commission, and the Asian Development Bank updated their previous world economic … development forecasts. In the updated IMF forecast, the global GDP growth rate for 2022 is reduced to 3.2% because of a slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355505
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The IMF's growth forecasts for poor countries don't match its COVID narrative
Sandefur, Justin; Subramanian, Arvind - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249529
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Market Risk of Developed and Emerging Countries During the Global Financial Crisis
Köksal, Bülent - 2013
This study compares the performance of the widely used risk measure Value-at-Risk (VaR) across a large sample of developed and emerging countries. The performance of the VaR is assessed by both unconditional and conditional tests of Kupiec and Christoffersen, respectively, as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091310
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Predictability in Sovereign Bond Returns Using Technical Trading Rules : Do Developed and Emerging Markets Differ?
Fong, Tom - 2019
The study examines the predictability of 48 sovereign bond markets based on a strategy of 27,000 technical trading rules. These rules represent four popular trading rule classes, they are: moving average, filtering, support and resistance, and channel breakout rules, with numerous variants in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895038
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Using probabilistic analysis to improve greenhouse gas baseline forecasts in developing country contexts : the case of Chile
O'Ryan, Raúl Enrique; Benavides, Carlos; Díaz Romero, … - In: Climate policy 19 (2019) 3, pp. 299-314
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012201962
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Foresight for shaping national innovation systems in developing economies
Aguirre Bastos, Carlos; Weber, Matthias K. - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 128 (2018), pp. 186-196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011957141
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Equity in forecasting climate: can science save the world's poor?
Lemos, Maria Carmen; Dilling, Lisa - In: Science & public policy : SPP ; journal of the Science … 34 (2007) 2, pp. 109-116
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003479330
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Economic Policy Uncertainty : Persistence and Cross-Country Linkages
Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel Joel - 2020
This paper provides new evidence on the stochastic behaviour of the EPU (Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index constructed by Baker et al. (2016) in six of the biggest economies (Canada, France, Japan, US, Ireland, and Sweden) over the period from January 1985 to October 2019. In particular,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833734