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This article identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058579
Persistent interest rate differentials account for much of the currency carry trade profitability. "Commodity currencies" offer high interest rates on average, while countries that export finished goods tend to have low interest rates. We develop a general equilibrium model of international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857234
The exchange rate policy considered as one of the most important macro-economic policy instruments, for it constitutes along with other policies an effective mechanism to protect the local economy from internal and external shocks. As a result, the importance of looking for the optimal model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908930
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describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316234
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In this paper we study the macroeconomic effects of large exchange rate appreciations. Using a sample of 128 countries from 1960-2008, we identify large nominal and real appreciations shocks and study their macroeconomic effects in a dummy-augmented panel autoregressive model. Our results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128677
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660360
While virtually all modern currency crisis models recognise that the decision to abandon an exchange rate peg depends on how tenaciously policy makers are willing to defend it, they seldom model how this is done. We incorporate both the mechanics of speculation and of a defence policy against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214355
look at the impact of "mistakes" in exchange rate regime choice on actual (nominal) exchange rate volatility. Countries … exchange rate volatility than other countries having a fixed exchange rate regime. We also invetigate the role of such mistakes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001473991