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The existence of time-varying risk premia in deviations from uncovered interest parity (UIP) is investigated based on a conditional capital asset pricing model (CAPM) using data from four Asia-Pacific foreign exchange markets. A parsimonious multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244930
We study the effects of U.S. monetary policy shocks on the bilateral exchange rate between the U.S. and each of the G7 countries. We also estimate deviations from uncovered interest rate parity and exchange rate pass-through conditional on these shocks. The analysis is based on a structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214637
Studying all possible pairs of eleven major currencies and eleven portfolios in 1976-2008 we show that, when there is no leverage, carry trade is significantly profitable for most currency pairs and portfolios. Positive returns do not diminish in time providing a strong case against the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774170
Asset prices tend to undergo wide swings around long-run equilibrium values which can have detrimental effects on the real economy. To get a better understanding of how the financial sector and the real economy interact this paper models the long swings in the Swiss franc-US dollar foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044175
In a globalized world, the volume of international trade is based on both import and export prices, thereby making a country's economy highly dependent on exchange rates. In order to study exchange rate movements, one frequently exploits the so-called Dornbusch overshooting model. However, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014135868
This paper empirically analyses the evidence of intra-spillovers and inter-spillovers between foreign exchange and stock markets in the seven economies which concentrate the majority of foreign exchange transactions (i.e. United Kingdom, Euro area, Australia, Swiss, Canada, United Kingdom and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965716
This chapter scrutinizes the dynamic linkages between major cryptocurrencies and fiat currencies of developed and emerging countries. To do this, the authors estimate the Scalar-BEKK GARCH models from September 2017 to January 2022. To shed light on the effects of specific events, the authors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354444
The objectives of this paper are to analyse the presence of multifractality in daily exchange rates of the US dollar (USD), British Pound (GBP), Euro (EUR), and Japanese Yen (JPY) relative to the Indian Rupee (INR) for a specific period (1999-2018) and to investigate the source of the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015194278
In this study a regime switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (c&f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The c&f model is tested against alternative regime switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765353
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235