This paper studies stochastic conditional duration models with a mixture of distribution processes for financial asset's transaction data. The mixture component distributions include exponential, gamma and Weibull. The models allow for a correlation between the observed durations and the...

This paper extends a stochastic conditional duration (SCD) model for financial transaction data to allow for correlation between error processes or innovations of observed duration process and latent log duration process with the aim of improving the statistical fit of the model. Suitable...

This paper proposes a threshold stochastic conditional duration (TSCD) model to capture the asymmetric property of financial transactions. The innovation of the observable duration equation is assumed to follow a threshold distribution with two component distributions switching between two...

Duration dependent Markov-switching VAR (DDMS-VAR) models are time series models with data generating process consisting in a mixture of two VAR processes. The switching between the two VAR processes is governed by a two state Markov chain with transition probabilities that depend on how long...

International trade patterns at the product level are surprisingly dynamic. The majority of trade relationships exist for just a few, often only one to three, years. In this paper, I examine empirically the duration in German import trade at the 8-digit product level from 1995 to 2005. I find...

The vocational employment training program is the most expensive training program in Sweden and a cornerstone of labor market policy. We analyze its causal effects on the individual transition rate from unemployment to employment by exploiting variation in the timing of treatment and outcome,...

Public programs often use statistical profiling to assess the risk that applicants will become long-term dependent on the program. The literature uses linear probability models and (Cox) proportional hazard models to predict duration outcomes. These either focus on one threshold duration or...

We study a mixed hitting-time (MHT) model that specifies durations as the first time a Lévy process - a continuous-time process with stationary and independent increments - crosses a heterogeneous threshold. Such models are of substantial interest because they can be reduced from...

Swiss policy makers created a unique link between unemployment benefits and Active Labor Market Programs (ALMPs) by making benefit payments conditional on program attendance after 7 months of unemployment duration. We evaluate the effect of Active Labor Market Programs and benefit entitlement on...