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In this paper we investigate the role of news shocks in aggregate fluctuations by comparing the empirical performance of models with and without the feature of the news shocks. We found a trivial difference between the two models. That is, the model with news shocks explains the variation as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688781
A number of studies have found that news shocks account for a large part of the aggregate fl uctuations of the main macroeconomic variables.We show that when taking rational expectations into consideration there is a limit on the size of the variance of the news shocks,which has not been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011758913
integrate the model into a medium sized DSGE model with capital and show that the resulting model does as well as existing … shocks. - DSGE ; unemployment ; business cycles ; monetary policy ; Bayesian estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973491
integrate the model into a medium sized DSGE model with capital and show that the resulting model does as well as existing … shocks. -- DSGE ; unemployment ; business cycles ; monetary policy ; Bayesian estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003960484
The Chicago Fed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is used for policy analysis and forecasting at the … accelerator mechanism. -- New Keynesian model ; DSGE ; forecasting ; policy analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581477
The Chicago Fed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is used for policy analysis and forecasting at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101439
Monetary DSGE models are widely used because they fit the data well and can be used to address important monetary … policy questions. We provide a selective review of these developments. Policy analysis with DSGE models requires using data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069243
We introduce the information microstructure of a canonical noisy rational expectations model (Hellwig, 1980) into the framework of a conventional real business cycle model. Each household receives a private signal about future productivity. In equilibrium, the stock price serves to aggregate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006600
We investigate the macroeconomic effects of political risk in an information-rich SVAR. Using an external instrument based on an index of US partisan conflict for identification, we find that reduced political risk has expansionary impact: it is immediately priced into stock prices; increases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857721
The paper develops a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model, which assesses the macroeconomic and labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984806