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This paper considers the case of Bayesian learning about the relationship between the greenhouse-gas level and temperature rise. Learning takes time because of a stochastic shock to the realized global mean temperature. The paper illustrates the difficulty of quickly learning about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005245512
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022238
This paper presnets a method for simultaneously estimating a system of nonparametric multiple regressions which may seem unrelated, but where the errors are potentially correlated between equations. We show that the prime advantage of estimating such a 'seemingly unrelated' system of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005149073
This paper explains how the Gibbs sampler can be used to perform Bayesian inference on GARCH models. Although the Gibbs … available in regression models with GARCH errors. We show that the Gibbs sampler can be combined with a unidimensional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005779650
The usual formulation of probit models includes, as endogenous variables, both continuous latent variables and binary … observable variables. The solution of simultaneous probit models involving only latent endogenous variables among the explanatory … variables is straightforward, provided the equations are identified. In contrast, simultaneous probit models in which the binary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005779677
We present a simulation model designed to determine the impact on congestion of policies for dealing with non-recurrent congestion (i.e. travel time uncertainty).
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005486855
In the general linear errors-in-variables model the main results have been derived under the assuption that the measurement errors are uncorrelated. However, as recognized by Bekker, Kapteyn and Wansbeek (BKW) (1997) and Lach (1993) this is often a problematic assumption to maintain in empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005424057
We prove that the recently proposed informational herding models are but special cases of a standard single person …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005748998
The paper deals with the problem of identifying stochastic unobserved two-component models, as in seasonal adjustment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590684
We introduce non-nested hypothesis tests using indirect simulation-based estimation procedures.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005641013