In this paper we analyse the problem of the modelling of individual transitions in presence of an incomplete sampling scheme.

This paper explains how the Gibbs sampler can be used to perform Bayesian inference on GARCH models. Although the Gibbs sampler is usually based on the analytical knowledge of the full conditional posterior densities, such knowledge is not available in regression models with GARCH errors. We...

This paper investigates the behavior of long zero-coupon rates and its consequences for usual arbitrage models of the term structure.

This paper proposes alternative methods for constructing estimators from accept-reject samples by incorporating the variables rejected by the algorithm.

This paper synthesises a global approach to both Bayesian and likelihood treatments of the estimation of the parameters of a hidden Markov model for the cases of normal and Poisson underlying distribution.

This paper puts forth a concept of Adptivety Rational Equilibrium (A.R.E) where agents base decisions upon predictions of future values of endogenous variables whose actual values are determined by equilibrium equations.

The simulation result of Nunes, Kuan, and Newbold suggests that it is possible to estimate a spurious break for a regression model with I(1) disturbances. In this note, we provide a rigorous proof for this phenomenon.