economies? The paper develops a new comparative data set on the usage of electricity in the manufacturing sectors of the USA …

need for macroeconomic forecasters to account for sudden and deep recessions, periods of higher macroeconomic volatility … Factor Model (MS-DFM) by incorporating two new features: switches in volatility and time-variation in trend GDP growth. First …, we show that volatility switches largely improve the detection of business cycle turning points in the low-volatility …

paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …

This paper applies volatility measures and VAR spectral analytic techniques to give a thorough description of the ….The central findings are summarized with regard to (i) national product share, contribution-to-variance and volatility …

: (i) monetary volatility negatively affects long-run growth; (ii) the relation between nominal volatility and growth … increases the negative effect of nominal volatility on mean growth. …

decline in real exchange rate volatility, 2) significant changes in cross-country correlations, and 3) the volatility of … domestic shocks less important in accounting for the (unchanged) volatility of macroeconomic fundamentals. -- European business …

This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas in any purely forward-looking model …, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, anticipation amplifies volatility, we obtain ambiguous results when including a …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …

This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area … when compared to unanticipated shocks. -- Anticipated Shocks ; Business Cycles ; Volatility …