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We introduce a Divisia monetary aggregate for the euro area that accounts for the heterogeneity across member countries both, in terms of interest rates and the decomposition of monetary assets. In most of the euro area countries, the difference between the growth rates of the country-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023395
increased stock price volatility at the firm level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234550
In this paper we develop a mixed frequency dynamic factor model featuring stochastic shifts in the volatility of both … volatility contributes to an improvement in density forecast accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064512
This paper applies volatility measures and VAR spectral analytic techniques to give a thorough description of the ….The central findings are summarized with regard to (i) national product share, contribution-to-variance and volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408998
Economists have long debated the relationship of bank credit to the business cycle. The attribution of economic cycles to the "inherent instability" of fractional-reserve banking has been advanced not only by Austrian scholars in the tradition of Murray Rothbard, but also by a number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903837
decline in real exchange rate volatility, 2) significant changes in cross-country correlations, and 3) the volatility of … domestic shocks less important in accounting for the (unchanged) volatility of macroeconomic fundamentals. -- European business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850663
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas in any purely forward-looking model …, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, anticipation amplifies volatility, we obtain ambiguous results when including a …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003870635
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area … when compared to unanticipated shocks. -- Anticipated Shocks ; Business Cycles ; Volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872035
return volatility. The model significantly improves prediction of the state of the economy using fully revised data. Real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896987
this relationship accentuates or attenuates idiosyncratic stock volatility. Fundamental uncertainty refers to the … stock volatility increases (reduces) with fundamental (information) uncertainty during both recession and expansion, but the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024285