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the inflation–unemployment dynamics during the recession and COVID-19 times in India and the UK. Using a generalized … recession and eventually turn to stagflation in India due to inflation caused by the weak supply side. However, in the UK, the …
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, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows …
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revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general …-to-specific testing strategy reveals a recursive structure where only the unemployment rate and long-term interest rates are directly …
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below the ECB’s inflation target. Therefore, a readjustment of the infl ation target seems unjustified. Furthermore, as the … ECB can expect inflation to return to its target, it possibly can accelerate tapering its unconventional monetary policy …
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