Policy, administration and industry need medium-term projections of the expected developments in the agri-food markets for their decision-making processes. The EU Commission presents such projections for the EU as a whole in December of each year. Those projections and their assumptions...

Der Übergang des derzeitigen, auf nicht erneuerbaren Rohstoffen basierenden Wirtschaftssystems zu einem nachhaltigeren System, in dem erneuerbare Ressourcen genutzt werden, ist ein zentrales Ziel der Deutschen Bioökonomiestrategie. Um belastbare Informationen zur Entwicklung der Bioökonomie...

This Thünen Working Paper presents the results of the research project "Joint Project: Expansion of a systematic monitoring of the bioeconomy - consolidation phase." The project aimed to further develop the monitoring concept for the German bioeconomy and to update initial monitoring results....

EMELIE-ESY is a partial equilibrium model with focus on electricity markets. Private investors optimize their generation capacity investment and dispatch over the horizon 2010 to 2050. In the framework of the Energy Modeling Forum 28, we investigate how climate policy regimes affect market...

We apply the EMF 23 study design to simulate the effects of the reference case and the scenarios to European natural gas supplies to 2025. We use GASMOD, a strategic severallayer model of European gas supply, consisting of upstream natural gas producers, traders in each consuming European...

In this paper, we use a computable general equilibrium model (WIATEC) to study the potential impact of implementing Europe's 20-20-20 climate policy. The results show that the economic costs of implementing the policy are only moderate and within the range of recent empirical evidence....

Natural gas could play an increasing role in the German energy system following the coal exit decided in July 2020 by the German parliament. However, natural gas has no climate benefit compared to coal. What is more, Europe risks to become a battle-ground for the conflict between Russia and the...

This paper discusses the potential role of fossil natural gas (and other gases) in the process of the energy transformation in Europe on its way to complete decarbonization. Mainstream conventional wisdom has it that natural gas, perhaps in combination with other gases, should maintain an...