The paper presents the general outline and the most important results from an econometric model MODROL, developed by the authors, for analyzing and forecasting the impact from the instruments of the Common Agricultural Policy of the European Community on the Polish agricultural sector. The basic...

This paper employs data for a panel of firms from France, Italy and the UK to study the effect of the recession of the early '90s on inventory investment, controlling for cyclical fluctuations at the firm level. The results clearly show some common patterns across countries, pointing to the...

This paper takes stock of the ECB's macroeconometric modelling strategy by focusing on the models and applications used in the Forecasting and Policy Modelling Division. We focus on the guiding principles underpinning the current portfolio of the main macroeconomic models and illustrate how they...