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supplemented by the country notes of other AIECE institutes from all over Europe. The authors analyze the economic situation in the … in Central and Eastern Europe.¤ In Western Europe, growth is forecast to continue at rates slightly above 2.5 percent … stance in the countries outside EMU is considered more or less adequate. This year, demand in Western Europe will be …
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This paper reinterprets Maganelli's (2009) idea of "Forecasting with Judgment" to obtain a dynamic algorithm for combining survey data and time series models for macroeconomic forecasting. Unlike existing combination approaches which typically assign weights to alternative forecasts, the...
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