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During the first two years of monetary union, the euro's weakness surprised most market participants. Explanations … empirical analysis showing that terms-of-trade and saving/investment behaviour seem to have driven the euro exchange rate over … view that towards the end of 2000, the euro was significantly undervalued ... …
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In its present set-up, the EMU could be expected to follow its historical predecessor, the Latin Monetary Union, which was founded in 1865 and in effect ended in 1914. Then as now, it was impossible to coerce sovereign states to follow the rules needed to establish a single currency.
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