-curve formulations in the USA, Japan and the euro area. Thick models represent "trimmed mean" forecasts from several neural network …This paper applies linear and neural network-based "thick" models for forecasting inflation based on Phillips …

The canonical New Keynesian model specifies inflation as the present-value of future real marginal cost. This paper … assess the model’s ability to match the behavior of actual inflation. In accordance to the literature, the model fits Euro … and a completely failing model. Allowing for inflation inertia through backward-looking indexation narrows confidence …

The canonical New Keynesian model specifies inflation as the present-value of future real marginal cost. This paper … assess the model’s ability to match the behavior of actual inflation. In accordance to the literature, the model fits Euro … and a completely failing model. Allowing for inflation inertia through backward-looking indexation narrows confidence …

The canonical New Keynesian model specifies inflation …

, subsequently, we didn't see the inflation they predicted. We show that these puzzles disappear in a Vector Autoregressive model … much of the inflation dynamics in the 2012-2014 euro area missing inflation episode. Consequently, economists and models … that excessively focused on the global nature of inflation were liable to miss the contribution of deflationary domestic …