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branches to forecasting export growth across a multitude of European countries. Our pseudo out-of-sample analyses reveal that … indicators are superior: the Export Climate, the Production Expectations of domestic manufacturing firms, the Industrial … forecasters in order to choose the best-performing indicators and thus increasing the accuracy of export forecasts. …
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Despite performing very positively on some key macroeconomic indicators in recent years, the German economy is in grave disequilibrium if the high current account surplus is included in the analysis. The paper scrutinises the evolution of Germany's external surplus since the inception of the...
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