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annual real-time data from the IMF World Economic Outlook publications. As forecasts made by different institutions are …
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; meanwhile private sector forecasters were not subject to this crude bias. As a result, using private sector forecasts as an …
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Using data from the ECB's Survey of Professional Forecasters, we investigate the reporting practices of survey participants by comparing their point predictions and the mean/median/mode of their probability forecasts. We find that the individual point predictions, on average, tend to be biased...
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; meanwhile private sector forecasters were not subject to this crude bias. As a result, using private sector forecasts as an …
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; meanwhile private sector forecasters were not subject to this crude bias. As a result, the budget-making process could probably …
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