This paper studies the impact of political risk on exchange rates. We focus on the Brexit Referendum as it provides a natural experiment where both exchange rate expectations and a time-varying political risk factor can be measured directly. We build a simple portfolio model which predicts that...

This paper studies the impact of political risk on exchange rates. We focus on the Brexit Referendum as it provides a natural experiment where both exchange rate expectations and a time-varying political risk factor can be measured directly. We build a simple portfolio model which predicts that...

The RMB exchange rate policy follows a ``two-pillar'' rule, with the market pillar reflecting foreign exchange market condition and the basket pillar stabilizing RMB index. This paper documents a clear pattern of regime-switching in the policy coefficients on these two pillars. Particularly, the...