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We study market perception of sovereign credit risk in the euro area during the financial crisis. In our analysis we use a parsimonious CDS pricing model to estimate the probability of default (PD) and the loss given default (LGD) as perceived by financial markets. We find that separate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052936
In this paper we examine sovereign bond yield spread (BYS) spillovers between Euro zone countries during a turbulent period encompassing both the global financial crisis and the Euro zone debt crisis. Using the VAR-based spillover index approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and impulse response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058578
We study market perception of sovereign credit risk in the Euro area during the financial crisis. In our analysis we use a parsimonious CDS pricing model to estimate market implied measures of the probability of default (PD) and of the loss given default (LGD). We find that separate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017354
We investigate the contagion appetite generated by the current debt crisis in Greece by focusing on six European Monetary Union bond markets, namely the Netherlands, Germany, Italy, Spain, Portugal and France. We use a framework that contains two procedures, a spillover regime/switching model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036128
We build a non-stationary Hawkes model of sovereign credit risk for seven European countries, and estimate it on CDS data from the run-up to the Greek default. We model a country's credit risk as partly driven by a weighted combination of risks across countries. We find Spain and Portugal are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063227
degree of stock market integration between Russia and China as well as between them and the United States, the euro area and … integration resumes between Russia and China, and with world markets. Notably, the episode of sigma-divergence from the 2008 …/2009 crisis is stronger for China than Russia. We also find that the process of stock market integration and the impact of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066581
We document stylized facts about China's recent exchange rate policy for its currency, the Renminbi (RMB). Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889843
An examination of Brexit and its initial impact on the main stock markets in the Greater China Region (GCR) was … insignificant, except for Hong Kong. Overall, China’s stock markets do not seem to be panicking and overreacting to unfolding events …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883261
The present paper embarks on an analysis of interactions between the US and Euroland in the capital, foreign exchange, money and stock markets from 1994 until 2006. Considering influences on financial market volatility, the estimations are carried out in multivariate EGARCH models using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003633556
In the framework of a new money market econometric model, we assess the degree of precision achieved by the European Central Bank ECB) in meeting its operational target for the short-term interest rate and the impact of the U.S. sub-prime credit crisis on the euro money market during the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826033