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In the last decade, advanced economies, including the euro area, experienced deflationary pressures caused by the global financial crisis of 2007-2009 and the anti-crisis policies that followed - in particular, the new financial regulations (which led to a deep decline in the money multiplier)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852813
for forecasting stock market busts than future inflation. Overall, this evidence points to (i) a possible evolution of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976561
We revisit the usefulness of long-run money demand equations for the European Central Bank. We first conduct a model evaluation exercise by means of a recent time-varying cointegration test. A stable relation for euro area M3 is not rejected by data only when accounting for both a speculative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736235
We analyze the relationship between M3 growth and inflation within an error correction framework including also the … inflation. Shocks in M3 growth account for up to 30% of the inflation forecast error variance, while the effects of output gap … the seventies and beginning of the eighties when interest rate and inflation rate levels were high and real money growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214045
much sharper rise in inflation than measured by the official price indices, whose quality was called into question. In this … determinants. Since these data do not rely on official inflation statistics, they provide an independent check for the latter. We … official inflation statistics. We do not find evidence in support of this hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058341
reliable short-run inflation forecast and with regard to the latter we incur the need for a stable demand for money function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109317
This paper reviews the key economic issues concerning the welfare costs of inflation and deflation, with a view to … shedding light on the desirable properties of the inflation process. Our review of the evidence on the overall costs of … inflation and deflation indicates that such costs could be even higher than previously thought, also at moderate rates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635897
This paper reviews the key economic issues concerning the welfare costs of inflation and deflation, with a view to … shedding light on the desirable properties of the inflation process. Our review of the evidence on the overall costs of … inflation and deflation indicates that such costs could be even higher than previously thought, also at moderate rates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319571
We study the distributional consequences of housing price, bond price and equity price increases for Euro Area households using data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). The capital gains from bond price and equity price increases turn out to be concentrated among relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316626
We study the distributional consequences of housing price, bond price and equity price increases for Euro Area households using data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). The capital gains from bond price and equity price increases turn out to be concentrated among relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988678