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Identifying the shocks behind business cycle asynchrony in Euroland
Trenkler, Carsten; Weber, Enzo - 2012
This paper investigates which shocks drive asynchrony of business cycles in the euro area. Thereby, it unites two strands of literature, those on common features and on structural VAR analysis. In particular, we show that the presence of a common cycle implies collinearity of structural impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489953
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Domestic versus International Determinants of European Business Cycles : A GVAR Approach
Boschi, Melisso - 2013
We investigate the sources of macroeconomic (output and inflation) variability in selected European countries within … currently members of the European Monetary Union and non-members. As for inflation, on the contrary, regional factors are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081263
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Domestic versus International Determinants of European Business Cycles : A GVAR Approach
Boschi, Melisso - 2014
We investigate the sources of macroeconomic (output and inflation) variability in selected European countries within … currently members of the European Monetary Union and non-members. As for inflation, on the contrary, regional factors are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063889
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Adjustment in EMU: is convergence assured?
Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich; Größl, Ingrid; … - 2009
Using a modified version of the model presented by Belke and Gros (2007), we analyze the stability of adjustment in a currency union. Using econometric estimates for parameter values we check the stability conditions for the 11 original EMU countries and Greece. We found significant instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915319
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Adjustment in EMU : is convergence assured?
Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich; Größl, Ingrid; … - 2009
Using a modified version of the model presented by Belke and Gros (2007), we analyze the stability of adjustment in a currency union. Using econometric estimates for parameter values we check the stability conditions for the 11 original EMU countries and Greece. We found significant instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425867
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Monetary policy shocks in open economies and the inflation unemployment trade-off : the case of the Euro Area
Ribba, Antonio - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 15 (2022) 4, pp. 1-12
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
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Low inflation and monetary policy in the euro area
Conti, Antonio M.; Neri, Stefano; Nobili, Andrea - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636807
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In search of the Euro area fiscal stance
Albonico, Alice; Tirelli, Patrizio; Paccagnini, Alessia - 2016
This paper investigates the role of fiscal policies over the aggregate EMU business cycle. Previous studies, based on the assumption of non-separability between public and private consumption, obtain a large public consumption multiplier, a small fraction of non-Ricardian households and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529025
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The euro area government spending multiplier in demand- and supply-driven recessions
Di Serio, Mario; Fragetta, Matteo; Gasteiger, Emanuel; … - 2022
inflation from its trend, implying that the more demand-driven a recession, the higher the multiplier. Median multipliers range … inflation deviations from trend into account. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174156
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The euro area government spending multiplier in demand- and supply-driven recessions?
Di Serio, Mario; Fragetta, Matteo; Gasteiger, Emanuel; … - 2023
inflation from its trend, implying that the more demand-driven a recession, the higher the multiplier. Median multipliers range … distribution of inflation deviations from trend into account. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364021