Showing 1 - 10 of 667
We propose in this paper a likelihood-based framework forcointegration analysis in panels of a fixed number of vector errorcorrection models. Maximum likelihood estimators of thecointegrating vectors are constructed using iterated GeneralizedMethod of Moments estimators. Using these estimators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302148
expectations about future UK-EU relations. Studying its consequences provides new insights regarding the economic impacts of news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806478
We evaluate the effect of exchange rate misalignments on the balance of trade and the role that global value chain participation plays in this effect for 11 new European Union member states. Using heterogeneous panel cointegration methods, we first estimate the real equilibrium exchange rate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242810
This paper attempts to identify implicit exchange-rate regimes for currencies of candidate countries vis-à-vis the euro. To that end, we apply three sequential procedures that consider the dynamics of exchange rates to data covering the period from 1999:01 to 2012:12. Our results would suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890541
the role of expectations and monetary policy reactions, to assess the impact of exchange rate changes when forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206373
This paper investigates the short-run effects of the uncertainties brought along with the Brexit referendum on the bilateral trade between Belgium and its main trading partners. I find that import and export markets have specific dynamics and react differently to changes in political uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138102
natural experiment where both exchange rate expectations and a time-varying political risk factor can be measured directly. We … British Pound, both on account of exchange rate expectations and of political risk. We estimate the model for multilateral and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158993
through market demand and supply expectations channel, but rather through the exchange rate channel that influences the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200289
This paper brings together the literature on determination of home bias in equity holdings and the portfolio balance model of exchange rates to consider whether the dollar might be affected by a change in transactions costs that alters international portfolio allocations. The empirical findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503711
Stylized empirical facts about the correlation between the volume of international trade and exchange rate variability/uncertainty are at odds with the predictions of the simple open economy model. The present paper argues that this puzzle may be explained by drawing on the recent theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615388