We propose methods for constructing regularized mixtures of density forecasts. We explore a variety of objectives and regularization penalties, and we use them in a substantive exploration of Eurozone inflation and real interest rate density forecasts. All individual inflation forecasters (even...

We propose methods for constructing regularized mixtures of density forecasts. We explore a variety of objectives and regularization penalties, and we use them in a substantive exploration of Eurozone inflation and real interest rate density forecasts. All individual inflation forecasters...

The Fisher relation is a key theoretical relation that underlies many important results in economics and finance. Although the Fisher relation is apparently simple in theory, empirical analyses of the relation have mixed and weak results. We consider the possibility that weakness of the evidence...

Purpose: To assess the predictive validity of Lott and Varney's (2022) ordinary least squares (OLS) multiple regression (MRA) causal model of the effect of immigrant population numbers, as a proportion of the total population, on the homicide victim rate for 31 European countries.Methods: The...

Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions of data is an important source of uncertainty about the state of the economy. This paper evaluates the quality of major real macroeconomic Euro area variables, published by...

Wirtschaftspolitische Entscheidungsträger haben die Target2-Salden in den vergangenen Monaten zunehmend als wichtigen Gradmesser der Eurokrise zu schätzen gelernt und ihren Abwärtstrend als positives Zeichen interpretiert. Umso erstaunlicher ist es, dass die Daten noch immer in keiner...

This paper uses cross-country micro-aggregated data on rm dynamics and productivity from the ECB CompNet database to provide empirical evidence on factor reallocation in the EU. The analysis finds that reallocation is towards more productive firms although the magnitude varies across countries...

This paper contributes with empirical findings to European co-inventorship location and geographical coincidence of co-patenting networks. Based on EPO co-patenting information for the reference period 2000-2004, we analyze the spatial con figuration of 44 technology-specific co-inventorship...

This paper contributes with empirical findings to the research on structural inequality and geographic concentration of European inventorship activity at the level of European micro regions. We analyze the spatial structure and dynamics of 43 technology fields (ISI-SPRU-OST concordance) and 6...