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forecasting content by means of trading implied cash flows. Empirical evidence suggests that the proposed strategy is neither … specifications. -- Model selection ; principal components ; factor analysis ; exante forecasting ; EURIBOR swap term structure …
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Economic policy makers, international organisations and private-sector forecasters commonly use short-term forecasts of real GDP growth based on monthly indicators, such as industrial production, retail sales and confidence surveys. An assessment of the reliability of such tools and of the...
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