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Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433361
longer-run inflation developments in the euro area. Employing an eclectic approach we consider various relevant theories …-frequency variations of inflation. Money growth is found to be causal for inflation only if other variables are omitted, which we therefore … führt auf die Arbeitslosenrate und die langfristigen Zinsen als kausal für die niederfrequenten Variationen der Inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915318
revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774367
Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988717
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991202
This paper investigates the properties of monetary and credit aggregates as indicators for future price developments in the euro area. The forecasting performance of models including indicators based on money and credit is assessed in a simulated out-of-sample forecasting exercise for forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320283
indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316597
realistic parameter values, the model generates a blip in inflation of the same magnitude observed in the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069057
This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy for inflation … is difficult to find robust evidence of the fiscal policy stance or impulse impacting directly on inflation differentials …. We do find, however, support for an indirect effect of discretionary fiscal policy on inflation differentials working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257756
Part of the present inflation is caused by the breakdown of globalization, in particular supply chains, part is caused … the past and in the presence. This paper attributes inflation decisively to the overwhelming money creation by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553631