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Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is one of the most important indicators that reflects the evolution and resilience of national economies. The importance of this macroeconomic indicator is growing in the current economic context, context in which international studies start to emphasize the...
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This paper analyzes the histories of revisions of official annual real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rates for six regional members of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) - People's Republic of China; India; Indonesia; Republic of Korea; Taipei,China; and Thailand - for the period 1990–2004 as...
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A two-regime self-exciting threshold autoregressive process is estimated for quarterly aggregate GDP of the fifteen countries that compose the European Union, and the forecasts from this nonlinear model are compared, by means of a Monte Carlo simulation, with those from a simple autoregressive...
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