World power and gas markets have a natural relationship with global tradable carbon permits markets, including the U.S. Clean Air Act Amendments and the EU Emissions Trading Scheme, the latter officially launched in January 2005. Electric utilities operate their power plants based in part on the...

Typical issues of multivariate GARCH models are dimensionality, which is time consuming, both in terms of computations and their programming, and the availability of very few distributional schemes, since linear correlations are a natural dependence measure, only if the joint distribution of the...

The European economic integration and the financialization of the real estate certainly brought enormous contributions for the investment in this class of asset, on the other hand, the faster propagation of the shocks and the sudden corrections of markets become serious subjects. The aim of this...

This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines howkey European sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paperanalyses the volatility structure of Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain and Portugal....

We study market perception of sovereign credit risk in the euro area during the financial crisis. In our analysis we use a parsimonious CDS pricing model to estimate the probability of default (PD) and the loss given default (LGD) as perceived by financial markets. We find that separate...

In this paper we examine sovereign bond yield spread (BYS) spillovers between Euro zone countries during a turbulent period encompassing both the global financial crisis and the Euro zone debt crisis. Using the VAR-based spillover index approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and impulse response...

We study market perception of sovereign credit risk in the Euro area during the financial crisis. In our analysis we use a parsimonious CDS pricing model to estimate market implied measures of the probability of default (PD) and of the loss given default (LGD). We find that separate...

We investigate the contagion appetite generated by the current debt crisis in Greece by focusing on six European Monetary Union bond markets, namely the Netherlands, Germany, Italy, Spain, Portugal and France. We use a framework that contains two procedures, a spillover regime/switching model...

We build a non-stationary Hawkes model of sovereign credit risk for seven European countries, and estimate it on CDS data from the run-up to the Greek default. We model a country's credit risk as partly driven by a weighted combination of risks across countries. We find Spain and Portugal are...

We model EU countries' bank ratings using financial variables and allowing for intercept and slope heterogeneity. Our aim is to assess whether 'old' and 'new' EU countries are rated differently and to determine whether 'new' ones are assigned lower ratings, ceteris paribus, than 'old' ones. We...