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Covered bonds and senior bonds are important securities for fixed income investors. Senior bonds are unsecured, while covered bonds are secured and backed by collateral. Our results show that collateral reduces the total risk in individual bonds by more than 70%. Compared to diversified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871548
From 2010 to 2012, the relation between bank stock returns from European Union (EU) countries and the returns on sovereign CDS of peripheral (GIIPS) countries is negative. We use days with tail sovereign CDS returns of peripheral countries to identify the effects of shocks to the cost of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279577
The European low-carbon transition began in the last few decades and is accelerating to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. This paper examines how climate-related transition indicators of a large European corporate firm relate to its CDS-implied credit risk across various time horizons....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283743
This paper decomposes the explained part of the CDS spread changes of 31 listed euro area banks according to various risk drivers. The choice of the credit risk drivers is inspired by the Merton (1974) model. Individual CDS liquidity and other market and business variables are identified to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596544
The run-up to the Greek default featured marked increases in the cost of insuring sovereign debt from almost all European countries. One explanation is that market participants believed a default in one country might increase the risk of a future default in another, and so news about one country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730365
We build a non-stationary Hawkes model of sovereign credit risk for seven European countries, and estimate it on CDS data from the run-up to the Greek default. We model a country's credit risk as partly driven by a weighted combination of risks across countries. We find Spain and Portugal are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063227
In this paper, we explore the interconnection and existing relationships between the Sovereign Credit Default Swaps (henceforth, CDS) and the stock markets of the main European countries. Thus, the goal of this paper is to test if the CDS premia can predict the stock market returns of the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870707
In this paper, I use multivariate time series models in order to analyze the evolution of European Sovereign CDS spreads during the recent crisis. I find evidence that sovereigns' credit risk premia are non-stationary but cointegrated with simple measures of the countries' indebtedness and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078906
It was evident that credit default swap (CDS) spreads have been highly correlated during the recent financial crisis. Motivated by this evidence, this study attempts to investigate the extent to which CDS markets across regions, maturities and credit ratings have integrated more in crisis. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966548
We study the impact of sovereign risk on the credit risk of the non-financial corporate sector in the Eurozone using credit default swap data. We show that an increase in sovereign risk is associated with a statistically and economically significant increase in corporate credit risk and, hence,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035996