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Using recent advances in time-varying spectral methods, this research analyses the growth cycles of the core of the euro area in terms of frequency content and phasing of cycles. The methodology uses the continuous wavelet transform (CWT) and also Hilbert wavelet pairs in the setting of a...
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In this paper we compare alternative approaches for dating the Euro area business cycle and analyzing its characteristics. First, we extend a commonly used dating procedure to allow for length, size and amplitude restrictions, and to compute the probability of a phase change. Second, we apply...
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in house prices could deepen with the looming economic recession and soaring interest rates …
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of the five countries to the 2008 crisis was countercyclical. On the fiscal side, countries had a larger fiscal space in … indicators and a reduction in financing needs in the years before the crisis. On the monetary side, the capacity to implement … countercyclical responses in future crisis episodes, the fiscal authorities should reverse expansionary measures during good times and …
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