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–“natural rate theory”- dominated interpretations of economic trends and policy prescriptions since the 1970s. Public policy …. Economic trends were filtered through the lens of the “natural rate theory,” focusing on labor market institutions only and … allow markets to operate more freely, i.e. to bring the real world closer to the idealized theoretical model. This paper …
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By using the Economic Sentiment Indicator and Autoregressive Markov Switching models, this paper provides an effective tool to identify and characterize expectations of business cycle phases for Germany, Spain, the Euro Area, and the European Union. This information is useful for policy makers...
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