Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...

Die jüngste Zuspitzung der griechischen Schuldenkrise hat die Diskussion über einen möglichen Schuldenschnitt erneut angefacht. Dabei werden häufig Regelungen gefordert, die im Gegensatz zum aktuellen Rettungsschirm und den bestehenden Beschlüssen für dessen Anschlussreglungen einen...

Despite the single currency, yields on government bonds in the Euro Area deviate from German bond yields. These bond spreads are usually attributed to differing default and liquidity risks. Recent research points out that time-varying global factors, approximated by risk measures or short term...