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The British Opt-Out from the European Monetary Union : Empirical Evidence from Monetary Policy Rules
d'Addona, Stefano - 2012
We analyze the current state of monetary integration in Europe, focusing on the United Kingdom's position regarding the European Monetary Union (EMU). The interest rate decisions of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are compared through different specifications of the Taylor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108510
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The British Opt-Out from the European Monetary Union : Empirical Evidence from Monetary Policy Rules
d'Addona, Stefano - 2012
We analyze the current state of monetary integration in Europe, focusing on the United Kingdom's position regarding the European Monetary Union (EMU). The interest rate decisions of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are compared through different specifications of the Taylor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114364
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Low inflation and monetary policy in the euro area
Conti, Antonio M.; Neri, Stefano; Nobili, Andrea - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636807
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House prices and monetary policy in the euro area : evidence from structural VARs
Nocera, Andrea; Roma, Moreno - 2017
We use a Bayesian stochastic search variable selection structural VAR model to investigate the heterogeneous impact of housing demand shocks on the macro-economy and the role of house prices in the monetary policy transmission, across euro area countries. A novel set of identification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659335
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Heterogeneity in euro-area monetary policy transmission : results from a large multi-country BVAR model
Mandler, Martin; Scharnagl, Michael; Volz, Ute - 2016
We study cross-country differences in monetary policy transmission across the large four euro-area countries (France, Germany, Italy and Spain) using a large Bayesian vector autoregressive model with endogenous prior selection. Drawing both on the posterior distributions of the cross-country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444752
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The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis : conference paper
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2013
This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338974
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Heterogeneity in Euro-Area Monetary Policy Transmission : Results from a Large Multi-Country BVAR Model
Mandler, Martin - 2016
We study cross-country differences in monetary policy transmission across the large four euro-area countries (France, Germany, Italy and Spain) using a large Bayesian vector autoregressive model with endogenous prior selection. Drawing both on the posterior distributions of the cross-country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988640
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Information or uncertainty shocks?
Baumgärtner, Martin - 2020
This paper shows that uncertainty has an impact on the effectiveness of monetary policy shocks. As uncertainty increases, so does the risk that a restrictive forward guidance shock will increase rather than decrease stock prices. This effect can be seen not only in high-frequency variables, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542948
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Mind the output gap : the disconnect of growth and inflation during recessions and convex Phillips curves in the euro area
Groß, Marco; Semmler, Willi - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
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Inflation expectations spillovers between the United States and euro area
Netšunajev, Aleksei; Winkelmann, Lars - 2014
We quantify spillovers of inflation expectations between the United States (US) and Euro Area (EA) based on break …-even inflation (BEI) rates. In contrast to previous studies, we model US and EA BEI rates jointly in a structural vector … autoregressive (SVAR) model. The SVAR approach allows to identify US and EA specific inflation expectations shocks. By modeling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255370