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The current economic crisis has witnessed a strong deceleration in the growth of international trade. This has been even greater in the cases of the European Union and the eurozone, where the rates of export growth have even reached negative figures. In this paper, the authors examine to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160035
The current economic crisis has witnessed a strong deceleration in the growth of international trade. This has been even greater in the cases of the European Union and the eurozone, where the rates of export growth have even reached negative figures. In this paper, the authors examine to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120065
This paper tests the hypothesis on market efficiency for returns on the euro against fifteen currencies while assuming predictability of returns, dependent on the sign and magnitude of endogenous shocks. Considering the properties of exchange rate returns, the quantile autoregression approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619841
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries in ation into country-specific (idiosyncratic) and region-wide (common) components. To do so, we propose a exible empirical framework based on dynamic factor models subject to drifting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181317
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries inflation into … quarters of the past six years, especially in turning point periods. Our main results indicate that headline inflation in euro … inflation this increasing sensitivity is solely reliant on a sustained surge in the degree of comovement, for energy inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838756
indicate substantial improvements in inflation and unemployment. Amongst the founding states, Ireland has idiosyncratically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499412
Three current account imbalances - one very large deficit (the United States) and two surpluses (Japan and the Euro area) - are subjected to a minimalist structural interpretation. Though simple, this interpretation enables us to assess how much of each of the imbalances require a real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003855162
This study divides the world into currency zones according to the co-movement of each currency with the key currencies. The dollar zone groups economies that produce well over half of global GDP. The euro zone now includes almost all of Europe and some commodity producers, but remains less than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893452
movements do not have an impact on inflation, as aggregate rules of thumb mask substantial heterogeneities across countries … deviations of inflation from target, including those relating to exchange rate fluctuations. Moreover, under the effective lower … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206373
The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537