Showing 1 - 10 of 856
This paper reviews the main properties of mixed-form (price) indices, in other words, chained indices which in real time behave as direct (fixed-base) indices. The European Union HICP is used as demonstration material.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040219
Current HICP measurement practices produce an upward bias of about one-ninth of a percentage point in German inflation due to changing consumption being disregarded and the preliminary data being used in the compilation of expenditure weights. The statistical uncertainty produced by these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236388
The aim of this study is to assess empirically to what extent the degree of heterogeneity of consumers’ inflation perceptions and expectations is driven by the flow of information related to current and future price developments in the euro area. We conduct the analysis both on an aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963761
presence of an aggregation bias, which we investigate by estimating NKPCs for the three largest euro-area economies: Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060301
Current HICP measurement practices produce an upward bias of about one-ninth of a percentage point in German inflation due to changing consumption being disregarded and the preliminary data being used in the compilation of expenditure weights. The statistical uncertainty produced by these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489562
The aim of this study is to assess empirically to what extent the degree of heterogeneity of consumers’ inflation perceptions and expectations is driven by the flow of information related to current and future price developments in the euro area. We conduct the analysis both on an aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316330
of overall HICP (direct approach) and whether the aggregation of country forecasts improves upon the forecast of the euro … the differences are only marginal for the countries. The aggregation of country forecasts does not seem to improve upon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319325
Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECB's monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inflation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319726
This paper investigates the in inflationary effects of fscal policy in an optimizing general equilibrium monetary model with capital accumulation, exible prices and wealth effects. The model is calibrated to Euro Area quarterly data. Simulation results show that government defcits, high debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635879
This paper investigates the performance of optimised interest rate rules when there is uncertainty about a key determinant of the monetary transmission mechanism, namely the degree of persistence characterising the inflation process. The paper focuses on the euro area and utilises two variants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635885