Showing 1 - 10 of 3,129
This paper develops a Bayesian quantile regression model with time-varying parameters (TVPs) for forecasting in ation risks. The proposed parametric methodology bridges the empirically established benefits of TVP regressions for forecasting in ation with the ability of quantile regression to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643282
This paper analyzes euro area and U.S. inflation dynamics since the beginning of the 1990s by estimating New Keynesian … hybrid Phillips curves with time-varying parameters. We measure inflation expectations by subjective forecasts from Consensus … results indicate that in both economic areas the inflation dynamics have steadily become more forward-looking over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081651
-zone inflation rates are stationary and others are regime-wise stationary. While such results may reconcile some of the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712783
This paper attempts to model the nominal and real exchange rate for Ireland, relative to Germany and the UK from 1975 to 2003. It offers an overview of the theory of purchasing power parity (Ppp), focusing particularly on likely sources of nonlinearity. Potential difficulties in placing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775859
In the last decade, advanced economies, including the euro area, experienced deflationary pressures caused by the global financial crisis of 2007-2009 and the anti-crisis policies that followed - in particular, the new financial regulations (which led to a deep decline in the money multiplier)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852813
years of restrictions, growing debts and money supply, and extremely high inflation. This research analyses the Harmonised … Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) in the service industries of the EU-27, comparing it to overall inflation and price growth … inflation and substantiates the need for monetary policy measures to slow down inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529553
inflation differ over time. We show that the impact varies considerably over time, depends on the source of increased liquidity … (M1, M3-M1 or credit) and the underlying state of the economy (asset price boom-bust, business cycle, inflation cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137632
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927935
much sharper rise in inflation than measured by the official price indices, whose quality was called into question. In this … determinants. Since these data do not rely on official inflation statistics, they provide an independent check for the latter. We … official inflation statistics. We do not find evidence in support of this hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058341
including OOH in the HICP to derive a new inflation index. We discuss the conceptual and measurement issues involved …. We show that since 2011 the estimated impact of including OOH in HICP annual inflation, based on either the "net … suggests that including OOH based on the rental equivalence approach decreases the cyclicality of the new inflation index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486742