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coverage or tone to provide the largest forecasting performance improvements in the prediction of the conditional variance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487265
This work quantifies the financial and macroeconomic effects of the most significant Brexit events from 23 June 2016 up to 31 December 2019 for fifteen economies. The study uses high-frequency data and shows that following the referendum outcome, overall the 10-year government bond yield of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289046
Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error correction model with quarterly data for the Euro Area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477146
Exchange market pressure (EMP) measures the pressure on a currencyto depreciate. It adds to the actual depreciation a weightedcombination of policy instruments used to ward off depreciation,such as interest rates and foreign exchange interventions, where theweights are their effectiveness. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383023
This paper investigates dynamic currency hedging benefits, with a further focus on the impact of currency hedging before and during the recent financial crises originated from the subprime and the Euro sovereign bonds. We take the point of view of a Euro-based institutional investor who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074792
and the new model achieves higher forecasting performance compared \to a standard DCC model.Appendix is available at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956776
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956777
We propose a new measure of the expected variance risk premium that is based on a forecast of the conditional variance from a GARCH-MIDAS model. We find that the new measure has strong predictive ability for future U.S. aggregate stock market returns and rationalize this result by showing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027179
This paper discusses an empirical analysis of the Expected Downside Risk (EDR) based asset-pricing model on Central and Eastern European and Developed Western European markets. The investigated risk measure applies a nonparametric approach that allows getting rid of any assumption on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986565
new model achieves higher forecasting performance compared to a standard DCC model. -- electricity futures ; dynamic … conditional correlations ; forecasting ; multiplicative component …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009349215