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the inflation rate. Second, economic activity measures have been in the focus of the ECB before the financial crisis broke … out. Third, over the last decade, the role of economic activity for ECB monetary policy has decreased so that inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162640
We derive Taylor rates for those CEE-EU countries which are not part of the Eurozone. The degree of heterogeneity decreased tremendously over time (2005 - 2015). Nevertheless, the business cycles are still not fully synchronized. As a consequence, joining the Eurozone seems to be premature and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011385213
We propose using a simple Taylor rule to evaluate business cycle convergence of the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland with the Eurozone. Our findings indicate an ongoing convergence of those CEE countries to the Eurozone, but with instabilities and heterogeneity between the countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026337
This paper estimates forward-looking Taylor rules for the euro area. Using the asymmetries in inflation and cyclical … not there has been a synchronisation of business and inflation cycles among the EMU member countries over the years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003767708
This paper studies whether the observed high correlation between monetary policy in the U.S. and the Euro area can be explained by economic fundamentals, i.e. by macroeconomic interdependence between the two regions. We show that an optimal monetary policy reaction function for the ECB that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008695549
, interest rate spreads and asset price inflation should be added to the classical Taylor rule because these variables are … the Fed is concerned, the impact of consumer price inflation, and money and credit growth turns negative during the crisis … while the sign of the asset price inflation coefficient turns positive. Thus we are able to establish significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931051
the Fed is concerned, the impact of consumer price inflation, and money and credit growth turns negative during the crisis … while the sign of the asset price inflation coefficient turns positive. Thus we are able to establish significant … price inflation becomes even stronger than before. Moreover we find evidence of a less inertial policy of both the Fed and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931391
Estimations of simple monetary policy rules are often very rigid. Standard practice requires that a decision is made as to which indicators the central bank is assumed to respond to, ignoring the data-rich environment in which policy-makers typically form their decisions. However, the choice of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973570
began in August 2007 inflation expectations were high and rising, particularly in the United States. We have two additions … maintaining a standard output-inflation mandate. We have three interpretations of our results. One, because the Federal Reserve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003986675
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963762