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Revisions of potential output estimates in the EU after the Great Recession
Dovern, Jonas; Zuber, Christopher - 2019
Using European Commission real-time data, we show that potential output (PO) estimates were substantially and persistently revised downwards after the Great Recession. We decompose PO revisions into revisions of the capital stock, trend labor, and trend total-factor productivity (TFP)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026398
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Chronic excess capacity and unemployment hysteresis in EU countries : a structural approach
Bassi, Federico - 2020
unemployment function. Our results provide evidence of chronic underutilization of productive capacity and hysteresis in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292864
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Hysteresis and NAIRU in the Euro area
Logeay, Camille; Tober, Silke - 2005 - This version: July 2005
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the … is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In order to test for hysteresis, the dependence of the Nairu on … respectively. The existence of hysteresis effects implies the possibility of a long-run non-superneutrality of monetary policy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744523
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Monetary policy disconnect
Ballensiefen, Benedikt; Ranaldo, Angelo; Winterberg, Hannah - 2020 - This version: December 11, 2020
Although designed to support monetary policy, two crucial aspects of the central bank framework can disconnect the monetary policy transmission: banks' access to central bank deposits and Quantitative Easing (QE). We show how both hinder the monetary policy transmission through the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387237
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A macro-model to monetary transmission analysis in Tunisia
Makni, Aymen - 2019
In this paper, we develop a gap model based on a reduced form of the New Keynesian Model. The model offers various scenario structure tools which analyze the dynamics of key macro economic variables under diverse shocks and depicts their properties and historical decompositions. This framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025818
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Central Bank communication and monetary policy predictability under uncertain economic conditions
Lehtimäki, Jonne O.; Palmu, Marianne - In: Journal of central banking theory and practice 8 (2019) 2, pp. 3-32
Modern central banks increasingly value monetary policy transparency, and attempt to build credibility by communicating their decisions to the public. This paper studies whether the communication of central banks can be used to explain upcoming changes in their most important monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016799
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A tale of two decades : the ECB's monetary policy at 20
Rostagno, Massimo; Altavilla, Carlo; Carboni, Giacomo; … - 2019
The 20th anniversary of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) offers an opportunity to look back on the ECB's record and learn lessons that can improve the conduct of policy in the future. This paper charts the way the ECB has defined, interpreted and applied its monetary policy framework - its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135959
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Monetary policy between stability and growth
Fabris, Nikola - In: Journal of central banking theory and practice 13 (2024) 1, pp. 27-42
The global financial crisis and the coronavirus pandemic were marked by expansionary policies of key central banks in an attempt to stop the recession. The degree of expansiveness of monetary policy was unprecedented. As a result of expansionary policies, global inflation has been present since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496247
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DSGE models and their use at the ECB
Smets, Frank; Christoffel, Kai; Coenen, Günter; Motto, … - In: SERIEs : Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 1 (2010) 1/2, pp. 51-65
Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models combine microeconomic behavioural foundations with a full-system Bayesian likelihood estimation approach using key macro-economic variables. Because of the usefulness of this class of models for addressing questions regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009355421
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Asset Prices and the Financial Crisis of 2007-09 : An Overview of Theories and Policies
Malliaris, A. (Tassos) G. - 2011
The financial crisis of 2007-09 has led to a rethinking of the role of monetary and financial regulatory policy. It has also called into question the benefits of financial innovation and monetary policy that focuses solely on inflation and the output gap. This paper discusses financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131099