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Investment fell sharply in the euro area after the financial crisis and has not yet returned to pre-crisis levels in many core economies. Focusing on the four largest euro-area countries, this paper investigates the role of uncertainty for investment dynamics. By doing so, we compare five...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977301
Investment fell sharply in the euro area after the financial crisis and has not yet returned to pre-crisis levels in many core economies. Focusing on the four largest euro-area countries, this paper investigates the role of uncertainty for investment dynamics. By doing so, we compare five...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011571047
We propose a new measure of the expected variance risk premium that is based on a forecast of the conditional variance from a GARCH-MIDAS model. We find that the new measure has strong predictive ability for future U.S. aggregate stock market returns and rationalize this result by showing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027179
Negative interest rates are a new phenomenon. Short-term deposit rates of the European Central Banks became negative in 2014 and sovereign debts of highly solvent countries followed. This paper measures the effect of short-term rates on short-term financial variables and of long-term rates on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219018
Aim: The paper measures the impact of negative interest rates on listed firms in the original euro zone countries. It also measures the impact of the first COVID-19 year. Design / research methods: The paper uses panel data to measure the influence of the short-term ECB deposit rate and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013202353
We scrutinize the impact of dividend policy on stock price volatility by considering the seminal paper of Baskin (1989). In this context, we examine the relationship between volatility and three dividend policy indicators, dividend yield, dividend payout, and stock repurchases, for 1,221 firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298815
Important dimensions of dividend behavior are not well understood. How do dividends behave in extreme states of the world? Why is the risk premium on dividend claims so high? Would dividend bans in crisis states have plausible effects on firms' cost of capital? In this paper we use evidence from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836873
This paper evaluates the impact of the March 2020 European Central Bank recommenda-tion that banks do not pay dividends or buy back shares on their market values. It documents a causal negative impact on bank share prices of around 7% during the two weeks following its announcement. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254495
This paper evaluates the impact of the March 2020 European Central Bank recommendation that banks do not pay dividends or buy back shares on their market values. It documents a causal negative impact on bank share prices of around 7% during the two weeks following its announcement. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553506
We derive risk-neutral option price formulas for plain-vanilla and exotic electricity futures derivatives on the basis of diverse arithmetic multi-factor Ornstein-Uhlenbeck spot price models admitting seasonality. In these setups, we take additional forward-looking knowledge on future price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034157