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coverage or tone to provide the largest forecasting performance improvements in the prediction of the conditional variance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487265
This paper investigates dynamic currency hedging benefits, with a further focus on the impact of currency hedging before and during the recent financial crises originated from the subprime and the Euro sovereign bonds. We take the point of view of a Euro-based institutional investor who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074792
an out-of-sample forecasting exercise, the paper shows that the proposed approach performs well as compared to other well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806537
The results in this paper show that current European benchmark yields can be explained, with a high degree of accuracy, by using an affine term structure (ATS) model with the following four state variables: (i) the EU unemployment rate, (ii) the EU production price index, (iii) the ECB monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088387
We propose a new measure of the expected variance risk premium that is based on a forecast of the conditional variance from a GARCH-MIDAS model. We find that the new measure has strong predictive ability for future U.S. aggregate stock market returns and rationalize this result by showing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027179
) for estimation purposes of dependency structures between market participants. Based on the estimated models, we perform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659313
-established inference apparatus based on the generalised method of moments estimation technique. In an empirical application using data from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864306
and the new model achieves higher forecasting performance compared \to a standard DCC model.Appendix is available at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956776
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956777
This work quantifies the financial and macroeconomic effects of the most significant Brexit events from 23 June 2016 up to 31 December 2019 for fifteen economies. The study uses high-frequency data and shows that following the referendum outcome, overall the 10-year government bond yield of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289046