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debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries' fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the … spreads during the crisis, not only for euro area countries but globally. By contrast, regional spill overs and contagion have … been less important, including for euro area countries. The paper also finds evidence for herding contagion – sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061742
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
portfolio contagion. In a complementary regression analysis, the effect of counterparty risk on Credit Default Swap (CDS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312216
This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
explained by wake-up-call contagion. Evidence on pure contagion however is very mixed and there are no insights into the … dynamics of these effects. As a contribution to fill this gap, we apply the canonical contagion framework of Pesaran and Pick … [2007], similar to Metiu [2012], for daily data from January 2002 until May 2013. By adapting the contagion function used by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239744
positive shocks, which creates moral hazard and is best explained by a “too-systemic-to-fail” effect. The contagion effects are … economically significant contagion channel for tail spread increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963385
Previous work has documented a greater sensitivity of long-term government bond yields to fundamentals in Euro area stress countries during the euro crisis, but we know little about the driver(s) of regimeswitches. Our estimates based on a panel smooth threshold regression model quantify and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248886
Previous work has documented a greater sensitivity of long-term government bond yields to fundamentals in Euro area stress countries during the euro crisis, but we know little about the driver(s) of regime-switches. Our estimates based on a panel smooth threshold regression model quantify and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974869
On 5-6 September 2012 SUERF held its 30th Colloquium "States, Banks, and the Financing of the Economy" at the University of Zürich, Switzerland. The papers included in this SUERF Study are based on contributions to the Colloquium. All the chapters in this publication discuss from different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711625
correlation analysis and the Granger-causality test demonstrate that there was contagion effect since correlations and cross … capacity to trigger contagion than core EU countries. Besides, Portugal is the most vulnerable country in the sample, whereas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965163