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prices, equity prices and interest rates. Uncertainty shocks cause deeper recessions in Continental Europe (except Germany …) than in Anglo-Saxon countries. This pattern is compatible with the view that continental Europe still suffers from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691548
prices, equity prices and interest rates. Uncertainty shocks cause deeper recessions in Continental Europe (except Germany …) than in Anglo- Saxon countries. This pattern is compatible with the view that continental Europe still suffers from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110907
This paper proposes a novel approach to decompose the Economic Policy Uncertainty indices of European countries into the common and country-specific components using the time-varying total connectedness. Then, by employing a Bayesian panel VAR model, we assess how common and country-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069591
In this paper we investigate transmission and spillovers of local and foreign economic policy uncertainty shocks to unemployment in two largest economic regions in the world - the United States (US) and the Euro area (EA). For this purpose we deploy Bayesian Markov-switching structural vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437769
. Adjusted for BEI risk premia, our main result suggests that spillovers of inflation expectations increase during times of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255370
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010187095
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615495
We model economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the four largest euro area countries by applying machine learning techniques to news articles. The unsupervised machine learning algorithm used makes it possible to retrieve the individual components of overall EPU endogenously for a wide range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139754
.e., ten countries from Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and three Western EU members. The analysis is based on a FAVAR model … exchange rate appreciations further enhance risk taking by cushioning debt burdens from foreign currency loans. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011440779
assessments of uncertainty spillovers in Europe. Therefore, not all EPU indices are the same. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471282