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Aufschwung mit Risiken - Konjunktur 2004

Weinert, Günter (contributor); … - 2004

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460398

Forecasting exports across Europe : what are the superior survey indicators?

Lehmann, Robert - 2019 - This version: September 6, 2019

In this study, we systematically evaluate the potential of a bunch of survey-based indicators from different economic branches to forecasting export growth across a multitude of European countries. Our pseudo out-of-sample analyses reveal that the best-performing indicators beat a well-specified...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104016

Global economy and the euro area : uncertainty weighs on trade and investment

Michelsen, Claus; Ansari, Dawud; Baldi, Guido; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 8 (2018) 50/52, pp. 506-508

The global expansion weakened somewhat in the third quarter while the downside risks have increased. DIW Berlin’s forecast- almost unchanged-indicates an expansion in global economic production of 4.3 percent for 2018 and 3.9 percent for 2019. In 2020, momentum will slow down further to 3.6...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946921

The global economy and the euro area : uncertainty weighing on world trade and industry

Michelsen, Claus; Baldi, Guido; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 9 (2019) 37, pp. 328-329

The ongoing trade conflicts initiated by the US and the uncertainty surrounding Brexit are negatively affecting the global economy. Global trade and investment activity, and thus in many places industrial output, are the areas most impacted. Consumption, however, is continuing to support the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110800

Global economy and the euro area : protectionism weighing on trade and investment

Michelsen, Claus; Baldi, Guido; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 9 (2019) 22/24, pp. 194-195

The global economy is holding steady amidst uncertainty, although subdued export and investment growth in some places is already proving the extent to which protectionism and the unresolved trade conflicts are negatively affecting the economy. Contributing to the uncertainty is the continued...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016606

The global economy and the euro area : weak international trade, robust domestic demand : DIW economic outlook

Michelsen, Claus; Baldi, Guido; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 9 (2019) 11/12, pp. 100-101

The current global economic environment remains harsh. Global growth rates stagnated in the fourth quarter of 2018, particularly affected by foreign trade. DIW Berlin’s forecast indicates global economic growth of 3.7 percent for 2019 and 3.6 percent for 2020. Positive stimuli are expected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992301

The world economy and the Euro Area : despite risks, global recovery is stabilizing

Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Dreger, Christian; … - In: DIW economic bulletin 7 (2017) 24, pp. 231-233

Global economic output is expected to grow by 3.7 percent this year, and with a slightly stronger dynamic in the coming year; both predictions match the figures proposed in DIW Berlin’s spring forecast, even though the year started off somewhat weaker than expected. But overall, economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664727

The transatlantic banking crisis : lessons and EU reforms

Welfens, Paul J. J. - 2009

The key dynamics of the transatlantic banking crisis are analyzed – with emphasis on the fact that the banking disaster of 2007/08 was not really a surprise –, and the five key requirements for restoring stability and efficiency in the EU/OECD banking sector are highlighted. Most important,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936131

Gegenseitige Abhängigkeit im Handel zwischen China, der EU und Deutschland : eine empirische Faktensammlung

Matthes, Jürgen - 2022

Eine Bestandsaufnahme der gegenseitigen Abhängigkeiten im Außenhandel zwischen der EU und Deutschland auf der einen … es in der EU rund 3,5 Millionen und in Deutschland rund 1,1 Millionen Arbeitsplätze sind, die am Endverbrauch in China … hängen. Deutschland ist auf der Exportseite anteilsmäßig deutlich stärker von China abhängig als umgekehrt: 2,7 Prozent der …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013255609

Trading Costs, the Expansion of Trade and Economic Growth in Pre-Industrial Europe

Kohn, Meir - 2001

In pre-industrial Europe, growth was driven by the expansion of trade, and the expansion of trade was driven by falling trading costs. This paper discusses the mechanisms linking these processes: profit-seeking behavior by merchants, changes in the organization of production, technological...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014138697

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