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This article looks at the evolution of the Target balance of the Greek central bank. It is shown that in the first 18 months “after Lehman”, lending policy has been relatively lax, contributing to the increase of Target deficits. However, from spring 2010 onwards, there has been a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255109
This paper analyses the short-run effects of fiscal consolidation measures on economic activity in the euro area during the euro crisis. It presents new econometric estimates on the link between cumulative GDP growth and fiscal austerity measures during 2011-2013. The main empirical finding is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778844
EU-level fiscal rules have not been able to prevent the large-scale accumulation of government debt in many eurozone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305767
In this paper, we argue that rising debt levels have caused a revival of financial repression in the Euro Area and the US to reduce debt-servicing costs and even liquidate debt. We describe how, in addition to the “safe haven capital flight,” the Federal Reserve directly represses US bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090225
This paper investigates whether monetary and exchange rate policies are important for the success of major fiscal adjustments. We assess their role controlling for other determinants of success identified in the literature, including the size and composition of the deficit cut, the level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157440
This paper extends the Mundell-Fleming model to a monetary union between two countries that are different with regard to the determinants of aggregate demand, demand for money, foreign trade, price and wage adjustment. Depending on these national disparities in structural parameters, a fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838538
This paper looks at theoretical and empirical issues associated with the operation of fiscal stabilizers within an economy. It argues that such stabilizers operate most effectively at a national, rather than local, level. As differing cycles across regions tend to offset each other for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782193
warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific … Eurozone's specificity, which is instead to be traced back to a sharper-than-expected contraction in investment and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
Drawing on an analysis of austerity reforms in Greece and Portugal during the sovereign debt crisis from 2009 onwards, we show how the nature of the linkages between parties and citizens shapes party strategies of fiscal retrenchment. We argue that parties which rely to a greater extent on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049407
The paper examines consolidation episodes in the EU since 1970 with a view to shedding light on the factors that determine the success or failure of fiscal adjustment. Compared to the existing literature on successful fiscal consolidations we add a number of new dimensions. Three deserve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714042