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This paper sheds light on the impact of global macroeconomic uncertainty on the euro area economy. We build on the methodology proposed by Jurado et al. (2015) and estimate global as well as country-specific measures of economic uncertainty for fifteen key euro area trade partners and the euro...
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This paper investigates the role that idiosyncratic uncertainty plays in shaping social preferences over the degree of labor market flexibility, in a general equilibrium model of dynamic labor demand where the productivity of firms evolves over time as a Geometric Brownian motion. A key result...
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crisis, however, they had problems keeping their profitability which is an important quantitative indicator for the health of … estimators as ordinary least squares as well as autoregressive models in forecasting performance. …
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to forecast revisions. Third, we design a pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise and examine point and density …
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